BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 18 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
fy · 14 games
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
Disruptor
xNova · 12 games
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
Team Spirit
Tusksignature
rue · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 21 game
Jakirosignature
Panto · 20 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 17 games
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
603 picks · 936 bans
Tusk
537 picks · 430 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 645 bans
Dragon Knight
482 picks · 655 bans
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 951 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 651 bans
Mars
391 picks · 529 bans
Warlock
378 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total55% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:17
Xtreme Gaming 52%Team Spirit 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendAme
UrsaYatoro
Primal BeastNothingToSay
Dragon KnightMirele
MarsXxs
RazorCollapse
Dark Willowfy
WarlockPanto
UndyingxNova
Largorue
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 55%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1