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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 13 games
62%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
43%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Spectre
Spectresignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
71%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 6 games
33%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 11 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
woMy · 10 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 7 games
43%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Axe
Axeoften banned
db- · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
420 picks · 168 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 470 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
307 picks · 524 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 615 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
297 picks · 718 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
273 picks · 349 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
272 picks · 155 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
258 picks · 211 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total61% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:35
Nigma Galaxy SEA 55%Army Geniuses 45%
The model gave 55% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 31:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunainYourdreaM
48% · 58 games56% · 87 games
Dark SeerMamangDaya
Dark Seer
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMeracle
46% · 90 games41% · 141 game
Wraith Kingdb-
Wraith King
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAlaCrity
46% · 139 games54% · 73 games
Sand KingwoMy
Sand King
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernJhocam
51% · 55 games54% · 146 games
MiranaLym-
Mirana
Tusk
TuskPoloson
54% · 105 games
Game 2prediction correct24:15
Nigma Galaxy SEA 58%Army Geniuses 42%
The model gave 58% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 31:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeinYourdreaM
63% · 70 games50% · 109 games
Lunadb-
Luna
Puck
PuckAlaCrity
49% · 144 games39% · 199 games
Dragon KnightMamangDaya
Dragon Knight
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMeracle
54% · 82 games48% · 20 games
PugnawoMy
Pugna
Enchantress
EnchantressPoloson
51% · 56 games53% · 87 games
Shadow DemonLym-
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
49% · 63 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2