BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Chensignature
Sneyking · 36 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 36 games
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 23 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
Marssignature
ATF · 23 games
OG
Snapfire
Daze · 30 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 25 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 22 games
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 21 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 20 games
Marssignature
Force · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
601 picks · 936 bans
Tusk
536 picks · 430 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 645 bans
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 655 bans
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 950 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 650 bans
Mars
390 picks · 529 bans
Warlock
378 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 59%
Hero pool strength58% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total68% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:38
Team Falcons 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by OG in 45:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TimbersawATF
ClinkzNatsumi
Dragon KnightSkiter
LeshracYopaj
SniperMalr1ne
MarsForce
JakiroSneyking
SnapfireTims
LargoCr1t-
UndyingSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 68%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1