?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:1
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 21 game
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 8 games
38%
Razor
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
88%

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 30 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 27 games
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
604 picks · 940 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
541 picks · 429 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 647 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
488 picks · 655 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 951 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
397 picks · 654 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
391 picks · 530 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
381 picks · 233 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:27
REKONIX 26%Team Yandex 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 26:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterinYourdreaM
45% · 349 games48% · 111 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Morphling
MorphlingTraVins
52% · 172 games56% · 100 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFbz
55% · 127 games52% · 253 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaVarizh
56% · 71 game51% · 73 games
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Keeper of the Light
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magedalul
37% · 161 game50% · 343 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 86%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1