LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TDTeam Dloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 25 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 23 games
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 22 games
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 18 games
Tusksignature
PlayHard · 18 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 12 games
Team D
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Ponlo · 4 games
Oracleoften banned
Ponlo · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Axeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Gyrocopter
vtFαded · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Keeper of the Light
Ponlo · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
418 picks · 171 bans
Ancient Apparition
310 picks · 465 bans
Mars
310 picks · 520 bans
Nyx Assassin
298 picks · 621 bans
Puck
297 picks · 732 bans
Snapfire
280 picks · 160 bans
Enchantress
276 picks · 356 bans
Tiny
264 picks · 217 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 28%
Hero pool strength57% Neon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total86% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:24
Neon Esports 71%Team D 29%
The model gave 71% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 33:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinYopaj
AbaddonPonlo
Nature's ProphetSkem
Legion CommanderEnryu
LionShanks
Earth SpiritJaunuel
Game 2prediction correct43:17
Neon Esports 73%Team D 27%
The model gave 73% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 33:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSkem
PhoenixPonlo
BeastmasterEnryu
InvokerYopaj
EnchantressShanks
Nyx AssassinJaunuel
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 86%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2