Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
Ainkrad · 18 games
Pangoliersignature
Ainkrad · 14 games
Lion
Lodine · 11 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Kiritych · 11 games
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 10 games
Oracleoften banned
Lodine · 9 games
Grimstrokesignature
Lodine · 8 games
Lifestealersignature
Kiritych · 7 games
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
Aoharide · 2 games
Earthshaker
xsvampire · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
Blizzy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
429 picks · 172 bans
Mars
319 picks · 525 bans
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 470 bans
Puck
304 picks · 765 bans
Snapfire
304 picks · 170 bans
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 626 bans
Enchantress
279 picks · 361 bans
Tiny
277 picks · 222 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 29%
Hero pool strength58% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 74%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect