Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Fantastic Fivewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
Aoharide · 2 games
Earthshaker
xsvampire · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
Blizzy · 2 games
Fantastic Five
Void Spiritoften banned
Askold · 13 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
633 · 8 games
Puckoften banned
Askold · 8 games
Grimstroke
633 · 7 games
Linaoften banned
Askold · 6 games
Mirana
Muka · 6 games
Underlordoften banned
SuperNova · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
429 picks · 172 bans
Mars
319 picks · 525 bans
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 470 bans
Puck
304 picks · 765 bans
Snapfire
304 picks · 170 bans
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 626 bans
Enchantress
279 picks · 361 bans
Tiny
277 picks · 222 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 57%
Hero pool strength60% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Fantastic Five
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteFantastic Five · 58%
Series resultFantastic Five 0:1
Series predictioncorrect