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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
496 Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
58%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
29%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
100%

496 Gaming

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Bombi · 7 games
29%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
NARMAN · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Bombi · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Bombi · 4 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Bombi · 3 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Red · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Red · 3 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
NARMAN · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
431 picks · 172 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
321 picks · 525 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 472 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
305 picks · 170 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
304 picks · 765 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 628 bans
57%
Enchantress
Enchantress
280 picks · 362 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
277 picks · 222 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 70%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect