LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
496 Gaming
Winter Wyvern
Bombi · 7 games
Earth Spirit
NARMAN · 6 games
Phoenix
Bombi · 4 games
Snapfire
Bombi · 4 games
Grimstroke
Bombi · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Red · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Red · 3 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
NARMAN · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
431 picks · 172 bans
Mars
321 picks · 525 bans
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 472 bans
Snapfire
305 picks · 170 bans
Puck
304 picks · 765 bans
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 628 bans
Enchantress
280 picks · 362 bans
Tiny
277 picks · 222 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 70%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect