Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PuckChampwin 1:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
Aoharide · 2 games
Earthshaker
xsvampire · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
Blizzy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
433 picks · 174 bans
Mars
327 picks · 531 bans
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 478 bans
Snapfire
314 picks · 176 bans
Puck
309 picks · 774 bans
Nyx Assassin
304 picks · 633 bans
Enchantress
281 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
281 picks · 226 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 30%
Hero pool strength59% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total76% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 76%
Series resultPuckChamp 1:0
Series predictioncorrect