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PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO5
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 3:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
63%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 22 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 22 games
59%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 18 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
PlayHard · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 13 games
77%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
46%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
75%
Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
82%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
86%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
83%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 173 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
328 picks · 527 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 477 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
316 picks · 179 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
311 picks · 767 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
302 picks · 623 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
281 picks · 227 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
279 picks · 356 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total62% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:51
Neon Esports 62%Motivate.Trust Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 41:18.
Game 2prediction correct36:24
Neon Esports 62%Motivate.Trust Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 51:53.
Game 3prediction correct27:14
Neon Esports 62%Motivate.Trust Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 36:57.
Game 4prediction missed31:52
Neon Esports 62%Motivate.Trust Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 41:56.
Game 5prediction correct10:35
Neon Esports 62%Motivate.Trust Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 32:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 62%
Series resultNeon Esports 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5