Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
438 picks · 173 bans
Mars
329 picks · 528 bans
Snapfire
320 picks · 180 bans
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 478 bans
Puck
312 picks · 771 bans
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 623 bans
Tiny
281 picks · 231 bans
Enchantress
280 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 30%
Hero pool strength58% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total66% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 66%
Series resultTeam Unique 1:0
Series predictioncorrect