PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
AhFu · 12 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 7 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 6 games
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 6 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
444 picks · 174 bans
Mars
329 picks · 535 bans
Snapfire
329 picks · 186 bans
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 478 bans
Puck
313 picks · 784 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 619 bans
Tiny
287 picks · 234 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Team SMG
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total52% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 52%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictionmissed