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PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
75%
Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
82%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
86%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
83%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
67%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
63%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 22 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
PlayHard · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 13 games
77%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
446 picks · 174 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
329 picks · 535 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
329 picks · 188 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 478 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
313 picks · 786 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 619 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
287 picks · 234 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
284 picks · 361 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 57%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect