Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PuckChamploss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Uniquewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
449 picks · 174 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 188 bans
Mars
333 picks · 534 bans
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 478 bans
Puck
314 picks · 791 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 620 bans
Tiny
288 picks · 233 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 32%
Hero pool strength50% PuckChamp
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total64% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:23
PuckChamp 64%Team Unique 36%
The model gave 64% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by Team Unique in 28:43.
Game 2prediction missed15:30
PuckChamp 64%Team Unique 36%
The model gave 64% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by Team Unique in 24:50.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 64%
Series resultTeam Unique 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2