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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 1:0
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MOUZloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
82%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 8 games
38%
Razor
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
88%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 65 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 52 games
56%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 47 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 45 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 40 games
63%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 33 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 33 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
600 picks · 936 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
543 picks · 427 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 642 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 949 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 655 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 532 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
380 picks · 233 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:15
REKONIX 30%MOUZ 70%
The model gave 70% on MOUZ — the game was taken by REKONIX in 38:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTraVins
51% · 38 games49% · 265 games
BeastmasterMidOne
Beastmaster
Timbersaw
TimbersawFbz
43% · 180 games50% · 215 games
Shadow FiendCrystallis
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
49% · 284 games53% · 77 games
BrewmasterBOOM
Brewmaster
Batrider
Batriderdalul
47% · 199 games53% · 284 games
Ringmasteryamich
Ringmaster
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
48% · 201 game61% · 61 game
Treant ProtectorSeleri
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 85%
Series resultREKONIX 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1