PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
AhFu · 12 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 7 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 6 games
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 6 games
Execration
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 15 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 14 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 10 games
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 9 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
RR · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
455 picks · 180 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 192 bans
Mars
339 picks · 543 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 479 bans
Puck
317 picks · 800 bans
Nyx Assassin
312 picks · 617 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 234 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% Team SMG
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 51%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect