PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 23 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 22 games
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 17 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Army Geniuses
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 14 games
Timbersawsignature
woMy · 9 games
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
Marsoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
MamangDaya · 6 games
Pugnaoften banned
woMy · 6 games
Huskaroften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
457 picks · 179 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 194 bans
Mars
342 picks · 548 bans
Puck
324 picks · 808 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
315 picks · 613 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 235 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total79% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 79%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect