PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 11 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
kpii · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Moon · 5 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
457 picks · 179 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 194 bans
Mars
342 picks · 548 bans
Puck
324 picks · 808 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
315 picks · 613 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 235 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total60% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 60%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect