i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:2series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Asterwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 32 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 29 games
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 24 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 24 games
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 19 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 18 games
Enchantresssignature
y` · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
Team Aster
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 24 games
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 23 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 21 game
Treant Protector
LaNm · 15 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 15 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 14 games
Gyrocopter
LaNm · 13 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
LaNm · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
455 picks · 179 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 195 bans
Mars
346 picks · 550 bans
Puck
324 picks · 815 bans
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 613 bans
Tiny
299 picks · 239 bans
Enchantress
287 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total84% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 84%
Series resultTeam Aster 1:2
Series predictionmissed