PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTeam Dloss 0:1
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Execrationwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team D
Oracleoften banned
Ponlo · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Axeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Gyrocopter
vtFαded · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Keeper of the Light
Ponlo · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Execration
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 15 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 9 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
RR · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
459 picks · 180 bans
Snapfire
353 picks · 196 bans
Mars
348 picks · 551 bans
Puck
328 picks · 816 bans
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 478 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 615 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 241 bans
Enchantress
287 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 79%
Series resultExecration 0:1
Series predictioncorrect