BIX Invitationals Summer · BO2
result vs prediction
The Primeloss 1:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TMTeam Mysteryloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Prime
Mirana
BARBIE-Usagi · 4 games
Lion
BARBIE-Usagi · 3 games
Lunaoften banned
Rusman · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
BARBIE-Usagi · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Rusman · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Team Mystery
Dragon Knightoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Eren · 5 games
Tusk
Ponyo · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ghost · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Eren · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mercury · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
mks- · 3 games
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
456 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 200 bans
Mars
346 picks · 556 bans
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 479 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 612 bans
Tiny
303 picks · 241 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 32%
Hero pool strength56% Team Mystery
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Mystery
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Mystery · 59%