PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
458 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 200 bans
Mars
346 picks · 556 bans
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 479 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 613 bans
Tiny
304 picks · 242 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 59%