?
arrow_backBack to match
PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Ground Zeroloss 0:2
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ground Zero

No games played over 6 months.

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 13 games
54%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
73%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 9 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 9 games
44%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
RR · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
458 picks · 182 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
358 picks · 200 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
346 picks · 556 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 479 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 613 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
304 picks · 242 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 81%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictioncorrect