Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Spider Pigzswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Spider Pigzs
Death Prophetsignature
Mitch · 17 games
Grimstroke
LeBronDota · 15 games
Shadow Shaman
dnz · 15 games
Rubick
dnz · 13 games
Crystal Maiden
LeBronDota · 11 games
Linasignature
No!ob · 10 games
Void Spiritoften banned
No!ob · 10 games
Brewmaster
LeBronDota · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
460 picks · 180 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 202 bans
Mars
350 picks · 557 bans
Puck
327 picks · 829 bans
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 610 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 243 bans
Enchantress
287 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 50%
Series resultSpider Pigzs 0:1
Series predictionmissed