PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 22 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
Sand King
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
460 picks · 181 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 202 bans
Mars
350 picks · 557 bans
Puck
328 picks · 829 bans
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 476 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 610 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 243 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 65%
Hero pool strength55% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 53%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed