BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:1series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REKONIX
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 8 games
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 29 games
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
599 picks · 932 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 422 bans
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 642 bans
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 656 bans
Shadow Demon
438 picks · 942 bans
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 653 bans
Mars
385 picks · 533 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 232 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
REKONIX 28%Team Liquid 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingTraVins
SvenmiCKe
LargoFbz
UnderlordAce
LeshracinYourdreaM
ViperNisha
JakiroVarizh
MiranatOfu
Dark Willowdalul
TuskBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 85%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1