PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionTDTeam Dwin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team D
Phoenix
Ponlo · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Winter Wyvern
Ponlo · 1 game
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
462 picks · 184 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 206 bans
Mars
352 picks · 556 bans
Puck
335 picks · 821 bans
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 469 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
306 picks · 240 bans
Grimstroke
287 picks · 270 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:19
Team D 42%Lilgun 58%
The model gave 58% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Team D in 34:01.
Game 2prediction missed17:22
Team D 42%Lilgun 58%
The model gave 58% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Team D in 28:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 58%
Series resultTeam D 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2