Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2. Открытая квалификация · BO3
result vs prediction
Khanloss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Khan
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 10 games
Marssignature
laise · 6 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
Puckoften banned
hAze · 4 games
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 4 games
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
laise · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
462 picks · 185 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 206 bans
Mars
352 picks · 561 bans
Puck
335 picks · 827 bans
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 469 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
306 picks · 240 bans
Grimstroke
289 picks · 272 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 56%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect