The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Kezoften banned
RCY · 18 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 18 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Dark Willow
Bignum · 16 games
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 16 games
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 15 games
Venomancer
Speeed · 15 games
Vici Gaming
Windranger
shiro · 30 games
Rubick
XinQ · 24 games
Tinysignature
shiro · 24 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 23 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 16 games
Slardaroften banned
Xm · 15 games
Kezsignature
shiro · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
514 picks · 356 bans
Bane
357 picks · 419 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 636 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 474 bans
Rubick
317 picks · 174 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 344 bans
Shadow Fiend
309 picks · 591 bans
Windranger
305 picks · 221 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:13
GamerLegion 38%Vici Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 52:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyGhost
LinaXm
DawnbreakerFayde
PangolierFaith_bian
Earth SpiritRCY
Monkey Kingshiro
MiranaSpeeed
IoXinQ
HoodwinkBignum
Baney`
Game 2prediction correct32:31
GamerLegion 40%Vici Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:03:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
InvokerRCY
Linashiro
AlchemistGhost
Dark SeerFaith_bian
MiranaSpeeed
PangolierXm
AxeFayde
WindrangerXinQ
HoodwinkBignum
Tusky`
Game 3prediction correct13:26
GamerLegion 40%Vici Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 37:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezRCY
Linashiro
ClinkzGhost
PangolierXm
EnigmaFayde
BeastmasterFaith_bian
MiranaSpeeed
Jakiroy`
ClockwerkBignum
Keeper of the LightXinQ
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 68%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3