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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2. Открытая квалификация · BO1
result vs prediction
cAtFiShloss 0:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
V-Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cAtFiSh

No games played over 6 months.

V-Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 6 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
25%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 4 games
25%
Rubick
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 4 games
25%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
laise · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
463 picks · 185 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 206 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
352 picks · 562 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
336 picks · 828 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 469 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 601 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
306 picks · 240 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
291 picks · 272 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 65%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect