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BIX Invitationals Summer · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Dloss 1:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team D

No games played over 6 months.

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 12 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
73%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 9 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 8 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 8 games
38%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
RR · 8 games
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
465 picks · 184 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 206 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
354 picks · 562 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
339 picks · 831 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 464 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
312 picks · 240 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 604 bans
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
294 picks · 276 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 56%