PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
Doomsignature
Force · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 8 games
Oracleoften banned
RR · 8 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 8 games
Army Geniuses
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 13 games
Mirana
Lym- · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Puckoften banned
db- · 6 games
Huskaroften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
db- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Pugnaoften banned
woMy · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
471 picks · 189 bans
Snapfire
373 picks · 208 bans
Mars
359 picks · 566 bans
Puck
343 picks · 839 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 461 bans
Tiny
313 picks · 243 bans
Nyx Assassin
307 picks · 596 bans
Grimstroke
302 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 41%
Hero pool strength50% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 71%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed