BIX Invitationals Summer · BO2
result vs prediction
The Primeloss 0:2series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Prime
Lion
BARBIE-Usagi · 2 games
Clockwerk
BARBIE-Usagi · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Azur4 · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Azur4 · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 21 game
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
Tusk
PlayHard · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 14 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
479 picks · 189 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 209 bans
Mars
366 picks · 574 bans
Puck
347 picks · 855 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 461 bans
Tiny
319 picks · 244 bans
Grimstroke
311 picks · 288 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 595 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 48%
Hero pool strength61% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 78%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect