PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
479 picks · 189 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 209 bans
Mars
366 picks · 574 bans
Puck
347 picks · 855 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 461 bans
Tiny
319 picks · 244 bans
Grimstroke
311 picks · 288 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 595 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 29%
Hero pool strength59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 85%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect