PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lionsignature
Roddgeee · 10 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Beastmasteroften banned
kpii · 5 games
Brewmaster
kpii · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Moon · 5 games
Elder Titan
Roddgeee · 5 games
Army Geniuses
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 13 games
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Puckoften banned
db- · 6 games
Huskaroften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
db- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 5 games
Pugnaoften banned
woMy · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
478 picks · 188 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 210 bans
Mars
368 picks · 580 bans
Puck
348 picks · 862 bans
Tiny
320 picks · 247 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 460 bans
Grimstroke
314 picks · 293 bans
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 595 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Team SMG
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 65%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect