PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TDTeam Dloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 20 games
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 14 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
Team D
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
478 picks · 188 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 210 bans
Mars
368 picks · 578 bans
Puck
348 picks · 861 bans
Tiny
322 picks · 246 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 458 bans
Grimstroke
315 picks · 293 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 78%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect