PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionTDTeam Dloss 1:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team D
No games played over 6 months.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
Lionsignature
Q · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 6 games
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Tinysignature
Fearless · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
478 picks · 188 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 210 bans
Mars
368 picks · 578 bans
Puck
348 picks · 861 bans
Tiny
322 picks · 246 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 458 bans
Grimstroke
315 picks · 293 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 68%
Hero pool strength59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 63%