Claro Gaming Apu League Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Hoodwinksignature
Wij · 11 games
Snapfire
Wij · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Robo-Z · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 7 games
Kunkkasignature
Robo-Z · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
Viperoften banned
Prada · 7 games
Omega Gaming
Tusk
Zxca · 7 games
Leshracsignature
Jeimari · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Demon · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
473 picks · 190 bans
Snapfire
377 picks · 207 bans
Mars
364 picks · 585 bans
Puck
356 picks · 874 bans
Grimstroke
331 picks · 310 bans
Tiny
326 picks · 247 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 446 bans
Centaur Warrunner
296 picks · 408 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Unknown
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unknown · 67%
Series resultTeam Unknown 2:0
Series predictioncorrect