BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 12 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 9 games
Xtreme Gaming
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 16 games
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
595 picks · 930 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 422 bans
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 639 bans
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 654 bans
Shadow Demon
436 picks · 938 bans
Ember Spirit
390 picks · 653 bans
Mars
384 picks · 530 bans
Warlock
378 picks · 231 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:31
GamerLegion 28%Xtreme Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 35:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LargoFayde
ClinkzAme
Ember SpiritRCY
LeshracNothingToSay
RazorYamSun
SlardarXxs
Naga SirenSpeeed
MiranaxNova
JakiroBignum
Shadow Demonfy
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 85%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1