The International 10. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:0
Incubus Clubloss 0:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
Tusk
Zxca · 7 games
Leshracsignature
Jeimari · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Demon · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Mingatte · 3 games
Incubus Club
Grimstroke
Aretes · 11 games
Marsoften banned
Jupiter · 9 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Benjaz · 6 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BlackSoul · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Aretes · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Benny · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Nuages · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
BlackSoul · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
411 picks · 212 bans
Mars
406 picks · 626 bans
Puck
384 picks · 961 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 202 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 342 bans
Tiny
313 picks · 228 bans
Centaur Warrunner
280 picks · 381 bans
Tusk
269 picks · 199 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 52%