The International 10. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Latam Defendersloss 0:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:0
Gorillaz-Prideloss 0:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Latam Defenders
Earth Spiritoften banned
Moonlight · 10 games
Mirana
Moonlight · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Valquiria · 7 games
Timbersawoften banned
Valquiria · 7 games
Weaveroften banned
Cucahook · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 6 games
Juggernautoften banned
Cucahook · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Moonlight · 6 games
Gorillaz-Pride
Grimstroke
Cara · 7 games
Rubick
d1smar · 7 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
d1smar · 6 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 6 games
Puckoften banned
TaO · 6 games
Viperoften banned
c4t · 6 games
Void Spiritoften banned
TaO · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
d1smar · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
411 picks · 212 bans
Mars
406 picks · 626 bans
Puck
384 picks · 961 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 202 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 342 bans
Tiny
313 picks · 228 bans
Centaur Warrunner
280 picks · 381 bans
Tusk
269 picks · 199 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 59%