?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 25 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 19 games
68%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 18 games
78%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 17 games
53%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 17 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
63%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 29 games
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 19 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
76%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
594 picks · 929 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
540 picks · 419 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 640 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 653 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
435 picks · 936 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
390 picks · 651 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 529 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head7 – 1
Model total65% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:38
Team Spirit 56%Team Liquid 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
LargoCollapse
41% · 22 games44% · 173 games
SvenmiCKe
Sven
Windranger
WindrangerYatoro
42% · 106 games62% · 72 games
RazorNisha
Razor
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirele
45% · 226 games57% · 354 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
Jakirorue
46% · 276 games56% · 81 game
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
49% · 80 games56% · 30 games
Earth SpiritBoxi
Earth Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 65%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1