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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 1:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 28 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 27 games
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
81%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 16 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 13 games
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
594 picks · 929 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
540 picks · 419 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 640 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 653 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
435 picks · 936 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
390 picks · 651 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
386 picks · 529 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:7
Team Yandex 51%Xtreme Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 37:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordNoticed
46% · 150 games53% · 127 games
MuertaAme
Muerta
Razor
RazorWatson
55% · 82 games47% · 144 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Kunkka
KunkkaChira JUNIOR
50% · 175 games43% · 324 games
TinyNothingToSay
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSaksa
52% · 307 games46% · 164 games
Dark Willowfy
Dark Willow
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorMalady
65% · 78 games41% · 33 games
LargoxNova
Largo
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1