BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 1:0
REKONIXloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Chensignature
Sneyking · 35 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 35 games
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 24 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 22 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 22 games
Marssignature
ATF · 22 games
REKONIX
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
Tusksignature
dalul · 10 games
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
592 picks · 929 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 417 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 640 bans
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 654 bans
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 936 bans
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 649 bans
Mars
383 picks · 530 bans
Warlock
377 picks · 231 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:10
Team Falcons 79%REKONIX 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 35:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarsATF
Naga SirenTraVins
Primal BeastMalr1ne
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
ClinkzSkiter
PuckinYourdreaM
Treant ProtectorSneyking
Muertadalul
Shadow DemonCr1t-
JakiroVarizh
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 93%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1