WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
T1win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 24 games
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 23 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 19 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 14 games
Treant Protector
LaNm · 14 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 14 games
Gyrocopter
LaNm · 13 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 13 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
406 picks · 215 bans
Mars
403 picks · 634 bans
Puck
392 picks · 979 bans
Grimstroke
365 picks · 349 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 199 bans
Tiny
309 picks · 222 bans
Tusk
282 picks · 213 bans
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:19
Team Aster 57%T1 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Aster — the game was taken by T1 in 33:51.
Game 2prediction missed6:14
Team Aster 57%T1 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Aster — the game was taken by T1 in 24:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 57%
Series resultT1 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2