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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 0:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 64 games
72%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 51 game
57%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 47 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 42 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 40 games
63%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 33 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 33 games
70%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 16 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 15 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
fy · 13 games
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 929 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 417 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 640 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 936 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 649 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 530 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
377 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% MOUZ
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total52% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:31
MOUZ 51%Xtreme Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on MOUZ — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracMidOne
46% · 158 games47% · 130 games
WeaverAme
Weaver
Razor
RazorCrystallis
54% · 70 games50% · 306 games
TinyNothingToSay
Tiny
Brewmaster
BrewmasterBOOM
52% · 68 games50% · 113 games
Primal BeastXxs
Primal Beast
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
52% · 174 games51% · 271 game
Batriderfy
Batrider
Tusk
Tuskyamich
47% · 369 games52% · 19 games
LargoxNova
Largo
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 52%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1