?
arrow_backBack to match
WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Vici Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 30 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
y` · 29 games
72%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 23 games
74%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 18 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
XinQ · 18 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
72%

Vici Gaming

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 24 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 20 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 18 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 18 games
83%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pyw · 17 games
65%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 16 games
63%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
405 picks · 639 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 224 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
399 picks · 992 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
371 picks · 356 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
355 picks · 198 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
310 picks · 221 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 217 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 378 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 49%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total64% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:13
LGD Gaming 59%Vici Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNothingToSay
56% · 48 games43% · 61 game
Troll Warlordpoyoyo
Troll Warlord
Doom
DoomAme
60% · 47 games46% · 61 game
Dark SeerELeVeN
Dark Seer
Slardar
SlardarFaith_bian
58% · 27 games55% · 68 games
Ember SpiritOri
Ember Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireXinQ
46% · 106 games39% · 106 games
Earth SpiritPyw
Earth Spirit
Phoenix
Phoenixy`
58% · 155 games46% · 87 games
Ancient ApparitionDy
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed32:57
LGD Gaming 59%Vici Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:05:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerAme
50% · 59 games55% · 92 games
Juggernautpoyoyo
Juggernaut
Leshrac
LeshracFaith_bian
44% · 103 games49% · 32 games
Dragon KnightOri
Dragon Knight
Magnus
MagnusNothingToSay
54% · 64 games41% · 156 games
MarsELeVeN
Mars
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinXinQ
54% · 187 games48% · 108 games
LionPyw
Lion
Warlock
Warlocky`
53% · 57 games54% · 82 games
Ancient ApparitionDy
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 64%
Accuracy by game1 of 2