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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
56%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
25%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 7 games
86%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
343 · 6 games
33%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
61%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 16 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
PlayHard · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
79%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 14 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
399 picks · 994 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
398 picks · 216 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
389 picks · 640 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
370 picks · 358 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
338 picks · 188 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
301 picks · 213 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 220 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 374 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:20
Nigma Galaxy SEA 44%Neon Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 37:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinAlaCrity
46% · 58 games52% · 93 games
Wraith KingNatsumi
Wraith King
Spectre
SpectreinYourdreaM
51% · 35 games51% · 43 games
Sand KingYopaj
Sand King
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMeracle
51% · 56 games57% · 83 games
MiranaPlayHard
Mirana
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
46% · 78 games47% · 127 games
GrimstrokeSkem
Grimstroke
Tusk
TuskJhocam
50% · 119 games
Game 2prediction missed37:19
Nigma Galaxy SEA 41%Neon Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 26:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoAlaCrity
little data57% · 47 games
Templar AssassinNatsumi
Templar Assassin
Razor
RazorinYourdreaM
48% · 45 games50% · 140 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMeracle
48% · 51 game58% · 75 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPoloson
45% · 110 games58% · 100 games
Nyx AssassinPlayHard
Nyx Assassin
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeJhocam
40% · 156 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 62%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2