BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
397 picks · 214 bans
Puck
397 picks · 998 bans
Mars
390 picks · 637 bans
Grimstroke
371 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 187 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 211 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:32
Hokori 51%Infamous 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 25:39.
Game 2prediction missed24:33
Hokori 51%Infamous 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 39:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 51%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2