WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 29 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 26 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 21 game
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 19 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
XinQ · 17 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
393 picks · 213 bans
Puck
390 picks · 1000 bans
Mars
383 picks · 632 bans
Grimstroke
366 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
331 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 208 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 371 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 62%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:28
LGD Gaming 71%beastcoast 29%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 42:29.
Game 2prediction correct29:15
LGD Gaming 71%beastcoast 29%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 28:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 71%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2